Chapecoense vs Cuiabá analysis

Chapecoense Cuiabá
81 ELO 89
-7.1% Tilt -15.3%
568º General ELO ranking 98º
39º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.2%
Chapecoense
29.5%
Draw
40.3%
Cuiabá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Chapecoense
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.3%
Win probability
Cuiabá
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chapecoense
+12%
-6%
Cuiabá

Points and table prediction

Chapecoense
Their league position
Cuiabá
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
18º
28
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Goiás EC
36
68
48.5%
Novorizontino
34
66
25.5%
Coritiba
34
66
20%
Cuiabá
28
63
14.5%
Criciúma
26
58
11.5%
Athletico Paranaense
10º
24
56
12%
América Mineiro
15º
20
55
6%
Chapecoense
29
55
10.5%
Atlético GO
14º
22
54
6.5%
Avaí
25
52
10º
9.5%
CRB
13º
22
51
11º
8.5%
Vila Nova
27
51
12º
9%
Remo
29
49
13º
8%
Operário PR
12º
22
48
14º
8.5%
Paysandu
16º
19
45
15º
6.5%
Athletic Club
11º
22
45
16º
9.5%
Volta Redonda
19º
18
44
17º
11%
Ferroviária
17º
19
39
18º
17.5%
Botafogo SP
20º
18
38
19º
25.5%
Amazonas FC
18º
18
35
20º
36%
Expected probabilities
Chapecoense
Cuiabá
Promotion
14.5% 53.5%
Mid-table
82.5% 46.5%
Relegation
3% 0%

ELO progression

Chapecoense
Cuiabá
Volta Redonda
CRB
Atlético GO
Criciúma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2025
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
65%
21%
14%
80 88 8 0
04 May. 2025
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
31%
28%
41%
80 86 6 0
26 Apr. 2025
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
49%
27%
24%
80 82 2 0
20 Apr. 2025
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Athletic Club
ATH
52%
26%
22%
79 75 4 +1
17 Apr. 2025
PAY
Paysandu
0 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
48%
28%
25%
79 81 2 0

Matches

Cuiabá
Cuiabá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2025
CUI
Cuiabá
2 - 3
Operário PR
OPE
66%
21%
13%
89 82 7 0
07 May. 2025
CRB
CRB
1 - 1
Cuiabá
CUI
38%
29%
33%
89 84 5 0
28 Apr. 2025
CUI
Cuiabá
1 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
72%
19%
10%
89 75 14 0
23 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 1
Cuiabá
CUI
45%
28%
27%
88 87 1 +1
16 Apr. 2025
CUI
Cuiabá
2 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
49%
26%
26%
88 88 0 0