Chapecoense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
32.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
PPE
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHA
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
BRU
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |