Chapecoense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
COT
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
OPE
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
COT
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COT
3 - 0
LON
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |