Chapecoense vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
TUB
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FFL
2 - 1
CAC
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 2
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
CAC
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 2
CAC
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +2 |