Chapecoense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAX
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 2
JUV
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAX
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |