Chapecoense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 6
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
CRZ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |