Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis

Chapecoense Avaí
79 ELO 68
-0.9% Tilt -9.9%
567º General ELO ranking 393º
39º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
65.4%
Chapecoense
21.8%
Draw
12.8%
Avaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
Chapecoense
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.8%
Win probability
Avaí
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chapecoense
+9%
+1%
Avaí

ELO progression

Chapecoense
Avaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2017
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 1
Zulia FC
ZUL
60%
21%
18%
79 69 10 0
21 May. 2017
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
25%
25%
51%
78 86 8 +1
18 May. 2017
LAN
Lanús
3 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
58%
24%
18%
79 84 5 -1
14 May. 2017
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
62%
23%
15%
79 87 8 0
11 May. 2017
NAC
At. Nacional
4 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
61%
22%
17%
79 82 3 0

Matches

Avaí
Avaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Avaí
AVA
66%
21%
13%
70 78 8 0
14 May. 2017
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
35%
28%
37%
70 77 7 0
07 May. 2017
CHA
Chapecoense
0 - 1
Avaí
AVA
68%
20%
12%
68 79 11 +2
30 Apr. 2017
AVA
Avaí
0 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
31%
27%
42%
68 80 12 0
23 Apr. 2017
INT
Internacional SC
2 - 0
Avaí
AVA
12%
18%
70%
70 51 19 -2