Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
ZUL
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PAL
25%
25%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -2 |