Chapecoense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CRZ
4 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CRI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 3
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
6 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |