Chapadão vs Saad EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 2
MIS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 1
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Saad EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 3
CEN
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 0
SAA
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 1
AQU
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
SAA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |