Chapadão vs Paranaibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
COS
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEI
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOA
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Paranaibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 2
OPE
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | 0 |