Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Chapadão vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
COR
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NAV
4 - 0
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
COR
4 - 2
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SAA
2 - 1
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
5 - 0
AQU
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
NAV
4 - 0
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAV
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
7DE
0 - 4
NAV
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 1
IVI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |