Chapadão vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
COS
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
OPE
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIS
1 - 1
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MIS
0 - 0
OPE
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIS
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COS
2 - 0
MIS
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
MIS
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIS
1 - 1
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |