Chapadão vs Ivinhema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
COX
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
CHA
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
COS
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IVI
1 - 1
NOV
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
IVI
5 - 0
AQU
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AOU
2 - 1
IVI
29%
23%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
IVI
1 - 1
OAC
77%
14%
8%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
IVI
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -2 |