Chapadão vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
CHA
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ABC
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 2
ABC
44%
23%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
TLG
2 - 4
CHA
9%
14%
76%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
0 - 1
COS
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
COS
2 - 1
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
COS
2 - 0
ABC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |