Chapadão vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COX
0 - 2
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AOU
2 - 0
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
COS
23%
25%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
COX
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
OPE
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
COM
2 - 3
COS
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
OPE
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |