Chapadão vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
TLG
2 - 4
CHA
9%
14%
76%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
COS
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
CHA
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 0
TLG
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 1
TLG
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COS
2 - 0
ABC
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 1
COM
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
CHA
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
1 - 4
ABC
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |