Chapadão vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
COS
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPE
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 2
CHA
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 2
COM
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
COS
2 - 1
ABC
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 2
OPE
27%
22%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
ABC
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 2
CHA
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |