Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Chapadão vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
UMJ
1 - 5
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
COX
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CEN
6 - 2
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
7DE
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
COX
2 - 0
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 2
OPE
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CEN
6 - 2
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
CEN
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |