Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Chapadão vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
7DE
1 - 2
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CHA
4 - 0
PAN
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
COX
1 - 1
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
OPE
0 - 0
CHA
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
OPE
0 - 0
CEN
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 0
COX
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 4
CEN
12%
17%
71%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CEN
9 - 0
PAN
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |