Changwon City vs Mokpo City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
DAE
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
8 - 0
DUK
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
POC
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
HWA
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mokpo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 0
MOK
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
YES
1 - 2
MOK
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAJ
0 - 1
MOK
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DAE
3 - 1
MOK
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOK
3 - 3
CHU
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |