Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHU
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
PAJ
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
GIM
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
DAE
1 - 1
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 0
YAN
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CHU
1 - 0
GYE
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 4
POC
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GYE
1 - 1
PAJ
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GYE
2 - 3
SIH
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |