Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
GIM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GAN
2 - 1
CHA
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ULS
5 - 2
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
YON
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GYE
2 - 0
MOK
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GYE
1 - 1
ULS
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 4
GYE
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GYE
0 - 3
MOK
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
GYE
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |