Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
1 - 3
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
YON
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
GAN
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 2
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ULS
1 - 1
GYE
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GYE
0 - 1
BUS
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
YON
1 - 2
GYE
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GYE
0 - 1
GAN
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 2
GYE
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |