Korea National League Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
2 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
ULS
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
BUS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
2 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 0
MOK
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
YON
0 - 2
GYE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 1
GAN
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |