Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ULS
3 - 2
CHA
59%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUW
4 - 3
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
GKB
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DAE
1 - 1
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
YON
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GYE
2 - 2
GKB
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DAE
3 - 1
GYE
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GYE
3 - 0
YON
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
MOK
1 - 0
GYE
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHU
1 - 2
GYE
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |