Change vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
DIN
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
STA
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
6 - 0
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
LAN
45%
24%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAB
2 - 0
PON
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DIN
1 - 1
SAB
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SAB
1 - 1
GUI
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 2
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 1
SAB
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |