Change vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
DIN
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RCL
0 - 0
CHA
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
USS
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 1
VAN
10%
19%
72%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 1
GUI
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
SAB
52%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
USF
1 - 3
GUI
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 1
STA
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |