Changchun Yatai vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
12º
16º
15º
28
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 19 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
58.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
HEN
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
QIN
3 - 0
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
HAN
4 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
CBC
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
YUN
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
TIT
0 - 1
YUN
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
HEN
3 - 4
TIT
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SJF
1 - 0
TIT
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
WFC
2 - 1
TIT
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 0
HAN
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |