Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LIA
3 - 0
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
GUI
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
6 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
3 - 0
WUH
75%
17%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
SHE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
LIA
1 - 2
SHE
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 0
GUA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHE
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 1
QIN
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |