Changchun Yatai vs Shanghai Shenxin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIA
3 - 3
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
SHE
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIA
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
QIN
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenxin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUI
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HEN
0 - 4
SHA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
SHA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
SHA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |