Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
QIN
1 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BEI
0 - 4
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
JIA
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 2
CHA
33%
27%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
DAL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUI
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HEN
3 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LIA
1 - 2
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 2
SHA
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |