Changchun Yatai vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis


68	ELO	82
6.8%	Tilt	19.4%
1893º	General ELO ranking	432º
15º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

19.5%

Changchun Yatai

25.3%

Draw

55.2%

Chengdu Rongcheng

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

19.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%

25.3%

Draw

0-0

9.2%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

25.3%

55.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-25%

+13%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

8

12º

16º

15º

37

1º

9º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	44	65	1º	52.5%
3º	38	61	2º	32.5%
2º	38	61	3º	26%
4º	37	60	4º	35%
6º	26	49	5º	46%
9º	24	44	6º	26%
5º	28	43	7º	20.5%
8º	25	40	8º	19%
10º	23	38	9º	20.5%
11º	21	38	10º	18%
7º	26	38	11º	20%
13º	16	31	12º	31.5%
12º	17	29	13º	26%
14º	14	26	14º	26%
16º	8	20	15º	38%
15º	11	20	16º	48%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

AFC Champions League Elite	0%	9%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase	0%	23.5%
AFC Champions League 2	0%	29.5%
Mid-table	21.5%	38%
Relegation	78.5%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Changchun Yatai

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Apr. 2025	CHA 0 - 0 YUN 47% 26% 28%	69	67	2	0
15 Apr. 2025	SJF 3 - 1 CHA 36% 26% 39%	69	67	2	0
11 Apr. 2025	MEI 1 - 3 CHA 41% 25% 34%	68	66	2	+1
06 Apr. 2025	CHA 1 - 2 SHA 16% 21% 63%	68	82	14	0
02 Apr. 2025	CHA 1 - 1 WFC 38% 26% 36%	68	72	4	0

Matches

Chengdu Rongcheng

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
20 Apr. 2025	SHA 1 - 3 CBC 51% 23% 26%	82	82	0
16 Apr. 2025	CBC 1 - 1 YUN 75% 15% 10%	82	67	15
12 Apr. 2025	QIN 0 - 1 CBC 15% 24% 61%	82	66	16
06 Apr. 2025	CBC 2 - 0 DAL 72% 20% 8%	82	59	23
02 Apr. 2025	SHA 0 - 3 CBC 49% 24% 27%	82	82	0