Changchun Yatai vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
9º
53
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MEI
4 - 2
CHA
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TIT
0 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
QIN
1 - 0
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
CBC
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
QIN
3 - 2
CBC
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CBC
1 - 2
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 1
DAL
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 1
CBC
26%
28%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |