Champions Academy vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
7º
1º
5
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Champions Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHA
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 8
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
CDP
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
SMA
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
4 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 7
UME
12%
22%
66%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
6 - 4
CEN
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 3
PCF
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
CEN
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |