Niort vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASB
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ESW
1 - 1
NIO
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
FCG
1 - 0
NIO
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
VAL
3 - 1
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
REI
2 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |