Niort vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 2
NIO
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NIO
2 - 0
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VAN
1 - 0
NIO
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NIO
1 - 0
LPS
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 2
NIO
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 3
SPI
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 4
RED
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 1
RED
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
27%
31%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |