Niort vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
ORL
1 - 5
NIO
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NIO
4 - 0
BAY
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
NIO
3 - 0
BRC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 2
PFC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
QUE
0 - 3
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
QUE
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 2
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
QUE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 3
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |