Niort vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 1
NÎM
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
3 - 1
NIO
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
NIO
0 - 0
CLE
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 0
ARL
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ASN
0 - 0
ARL
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
ASN
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 1
TRO
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASN
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 3
TOU
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |