Niort vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
NIO
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 0
COL
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 0
FON
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 3
NIO
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 1
TOF
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
TOF
0 - 1
LUC
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 4
PSG
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUC
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 2
RED
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |