Niort vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
OLY
1 - 1
NIO
40%
30%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 1
STL
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCM
3 - 3
NIO
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NIO
1 - 0
TFC
26%
29%
45%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
CAE
3 - 1
NIO
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 0
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 1
POI
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
ASN
0 - 1
LOR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 4
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |