Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
STL
1 - 0
NIO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 0
CAE
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
USB
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 2
NIO
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 1
CLE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 2
GUI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
GUI
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 3
LHA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |