Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
39%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 3
LIL
33%
30%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCG
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
2 - 0
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
GUI
3 - 1
ESW
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 2
CSL
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 3
GUI
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |