Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
AMI
0 - 2
NIO
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 0
CHA
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
NIO
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
1 - 4
AJA
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 1
ESW
68%
22%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
CAE
4 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 1
SED
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 3
GUI
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |