Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
AUX
2 - 2
NIO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
NIO
55%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LSD
0 - 5
NIO
20%
22%
59%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
NIO
0 - 0
LHA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LUS
3 - 1
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
FCG
3 - 1
CSL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
FCG
3 - 0
MPL
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
THA
1 - 3
FCG
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 24 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCG
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
FCG
4 - 2
BRE
40%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |