Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
2 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
IST
2 - 2
NIO
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NIO
0 - 1
ANG
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STL
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 0
IST
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 1
STL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SED
1 - 1
FCG
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
CLE
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |