Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
RED
2 - 0
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
LIL
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIO
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 1
LMU
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 1
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 0
CAN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
ESW
1 - 0
FCG
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |