Niort vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
ESW
2 - 1
NIO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIO
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
NIO
2 - 0
TRO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1998 |
MON
1 - 1
NIO
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
STL
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 0
TFC
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SOC
2 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ESW
5 - 2
CAE
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1997 |
ASN
3 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |