Niort vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
NIO
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
STL
1 - 0
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
3 - 0
ETG
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 0
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 0
ROD
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCG
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ARL
3 - 1
BAY
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 0
SÈT
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PFC
4 - 1
BAY
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 2
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |