Niort vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
4 - 0
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NIO
2 - 0
FCL
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
REI
2 - 3
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
NIO
0 - 0
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
STR
1 - 0
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
DIJ
0 - 0
BAS
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |