Niort vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
TOF
0 - 1
NIO
19%
26%
54%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NIO
3 - 0
PSG
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 2
NIO
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NIO
4 - 0
RED
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEM
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FON
1 - 1
BAL
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
YZE
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
TOF
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAL
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
FCL
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |